Qatar's $103 Billion Africa Gambit
Qatar-Africa Relations
In recent years, Africa has become the new chessboard for
global competition and influence struggles. The continent is attracting the
attention of world powers not only for its natural resources but also for its
rapidly growing population, young workforce, vast agricultural land, and
geopolitical importance. Numerous powers, from China and India to Turkey and
the Gulf states, are striving to strengthen relations with African nations and
establish a foothold on the continent.
In late August, Doha-backed Al Mansour Holdings pledged a
total of $103 billion in investments to six African countries, announcing
Qatar's entry into this race with a clear "I'm here too in Africa."
The sum is notable as one of the largest single investment packages from Gulf
countries in recent years. In other words, Qatar has made a large-scale move
that brings its investments on the continent close to, or potentially even
surpasses, the volume of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
Topping Qatar's investment list is the Democratic Republic
of Congo (DRC), where Doha recently acted as a mediator alongside the US
following clashes with Rwanda. A $21 billion allocation directed towards the
mining, hydrocarbons, agriculture, and infrastructure sectors makes the DRC the
biggest winner in Qatar's investment package. As the world's largest cobalt
producer, the DRC is also at the very heart of the technological competition
due to its rare earth elements, coltan, and lithium reserves.
Copper-rich Zambia and Zimbabwe, home to some of the
continent's most important platinum and gold reserves, will each receive $19
billion in investments. The other three countries set to receive major shares
of Qatari investment are oil-rich Mozambique, whose economy has been fragile
due to conflicts in the Cabo Delgado region; Botswana, prominent for its
diamond mines; and Burundi, gaining importance due to its young workforce.
Qatar's investments are not limited to mining or energy;
they cover a broad spectrum including airports, health centers, urbanization
projects, digital infrastructure, and agro-industrial integration.
While Africa, with its fertile farmland, young workforce,
water resources, and mineral wealth, holds great opportunities for Qatar, the
Emirate's presence is also of decisive importance for a continent that, despite
its resource richness, lacks capital, infrastructure, technology, and
experience.
Through its moves on the continent, Qatar aims to diversify
its economy and reduce strategic dependencies like food security, in line with
its "National Vision 2030" goals.
Qatar's Diplomatic and Mediation Moves
Qatar's relations with Africa date back to the early 2000s.
While active on the continent through state-supported humanitarian
organizations, its major strategic and massive investment push gained momentum
after the 2017 Gulf crisis. The blockade imposed by Saudi Arabia, the UAE,
Bahrain, and Egypt, accusing Qatar of "supporting terrorism," pushed
Doha to seek new diplomatic, economic, and military partners.
Having previously played active roles in complex mediation
processes in Afghanistan, Lebanon, and Syria, Qatar began undertaking a similar
mission in Africa. Intervening in various crises in Chad, Mali, Eritrea, Kenya,
and Somalia, Doha is trying to position itself as a "global
mediator."
Most recently, Qatar stepped onto the stage in the
DRC-Rwanda crisis, successfully bringing the M23 leadership and the Congolese
government together. (However, M23 attacks continue.) While Qatar's mediation
efforts have not always secured lasting peace, they have often been seen as
significant moves for "getting parties to the negotiating table" and
initiating diplomatic processes.
Ultimately, Qatar's most critical and striking move was
pledging a massive investment to the DRC while mediating
there. The Doha administration, acting in coordination with the US, essentially
applied the logic of "don't spare the chicken where the profit will
come," using the $21 billion investment promise to open the door to the
DRC's $24 trillion mineral reserves. On the other hand, choosing to invest
directly in Burundi, Rwanda's close military ally, instead of Rwanda itself, is
noteworthy. This move showed Qatar's concern with maintaining a neutral profile
and keeping ties with all actors in the region. In the end, Qatar successfully
merged its identities as both mediator and investor, perfectly aligning its
interests with the peace process.
Qatar's Soft Power Strategies
Alongside investment and diplomacy, Qatar is also becoming
visible in Africa through soft power tools. Al Jazeera, with its Arabic and
English broadcasts, brings crises on the continent to the agenda, supporting
Qatar's political influence and positioning it as an actor that "listens
to Africa's voice," unlike Western media.
In education, the Education Above All projects, an
initiative of Sheikha Moza, provide scholarships and school support to hundreds
of thousands of children in Somalia, Sudan, and Nigeria. In the humanitarian
dimension, Qatar Charity and Qatar Red Crescent have been prominent in many
areas, from the famine crisis in Somalia to the cyclone disaster in Mozambique.
These activities place Qatar in a positive light in the
memory of African societies, while support for mosque construction and
religious institutions strengthens ties with Muslim communities, particularly
in East and West Africa.
Concrete Projects and Investments
Qatar is also gaining strength in Africa through lasting
projects in banking, aviation, energy, and infrastructure. Qatar National Bank
expanded its financial network by acquiring banks in Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia,
while opening branches in Mauritania, Sudan, and South Sudan. The Qatar-Tunisia
Friendship Fund provided job opportunities to thousands of young people,
helping Doha be seen as an actor contributing to social development.
In aviation, Qatar Airways now flies to 30 different
destinations in Africa, became a 60% partner in a new $1.3 billion airport
project in Kigali, and acquired 49% of the national carrier RwandAir and 25% of
South Africa-based Airlink.
In energy, focusing on natural gas reserves in Mozambique,
Qatar also financed the expansion of the port of Mombasa in Kenya and the
construction of a new port in Tanzania. Agreements signed with South Africa in
2023 also point to increased investments in diverse sectors like mining,
technology, agriculture, and food security.
Through its investments and military (base) moves in East
Africa (especially Somalia, Sudan, Kenya), Qatar aims to balance the influence
of rivals like the UAE in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a lifeline of global
maritime trade.
During the Emir's Africa tour in 2018, Qatar's allocation of
millions of dollars to a cancer hospital in Burkina Faso, education in Mali,
and development projects in Ghana, along with its aid to countries like
Senegal, Guinea, and Ivory Coast, strengthened Doha's identity as a
"development partner." However, in recent years, there has been a
noticeable shift from an aid-focused line towards increasingly investment and
trade-oriented relations.
Indeed, behind the latest massive investment push lies the
Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), the sovereign wealth fund managing Qatar's
global investments, with assets exceeding $450 billion. While companies like Al
Mansour are used as vehicles, the involvement of the QIA is the clearest
indicator that these investments are not short-term commercial ventures but
state-backed and highly strategic.
It must be noted that Qatar's investments are also part of
its alliances with the US and the West. Therefore, Doha's efforts are
progressing more along the line of carving out a space for itself in the global
balance of power than being a completely independent friendship with Africa.
A Quiet but Deep Actor?
Compared to other major actors in the region, Qatar's
presence in Africa is more limited but based on a notable strategy.
In the eyes of African leaders, Qatar is not a country
acting with colonial reflexes compared to the West. It does not make countries
dependent for decades with massive infrastructure projects like China. However,
compared to Beijing's long-term strategic persistence, Qatar's investments can
remain more project-based.
It is not disruptive like the UAE; it does not fuel wars by
supporting mercenary armies in Sudan. But considering Abu Dhabi's extensive
military and financial capabilities, Qatar's "balancing" moves remain
more limited.
It lacks a politics based on a "brotherhood"
discourse like Turkey. Among African populations, Qatar does not have the warm
bonds Turkey has established. Doha's language is more focused on financial
partnership and investment.
It does not destabilize the continent with military bases
and operations like the US and France. Qatar's influence progresses more
through mediation diplomacy and finance.
On the other hand, concerns are occasionally voiced that
Qatar, like many other actors, is on the continent for energy and prestige, and
will not make a real contribution to the development of the people—resources
will not be distributed equitably due to cooperation with local elites.
Qatar is positioning itself more along the lines of a
"moderate and friendly pragmatism" on the continent. Will this
position be sufficient to make it a development partner?
In the coming period, the measure of Qatar's success in
Africa will be how much its billion-dollar investments and flashy agreements
translate into concrete projects on the ground, how these investments impact
the lives of the continent's people, and its success in establishing a fair
trade partnership without engaging in corruption.
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